Iowa vs Minnesota 10/29/2011

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Iowa is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Minnesota. James Vandenberg is averaging 242 passing yards and 2.71 TDs per simulation and Marcus Coker is projected for 116 rushing yards and a 79% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Minnesota wins, MarQueis Gray averages 1.37 TD passes vs 0.58 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 0.78 interceptions. Duane Bennett averages 57 rushing yards and 0.39 rushing TDs when Minnesota wins and 47 yards and 0.18 TDs in losses. Iowa has a 48% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIN +16

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